This Conservative poll lead coincided with the unusual event of a governing party winning a seat from the Opposition, as occurred in the May 2021 Hartlepool by-election. Latest Scottish Independence Opinon Poll Data - Which Side Is Ahead? Could Labour Profit From Nicola Sturgeons Resignation? We haven't published any articles, trackers or survey results about Voting Intention. He is the co-founder of poll aggregator Britain Elects. "If the SNP did campaign on the next General Election as a 'de facto' second Scottish independence referendum, which of the following parties do you think you would vote for, or would you vote for another party?". LONDON, Sept 10 (Reuters) - Support for British Prime Minister Boris Johnson's Conservative party has slipped behind the opposition Labour party to its lowest level since the 2019 national. In the midst of the coronavirus pandemic, one in which the Scottish government took responsibility for the handling of the virus in Scotland, there were signs of sustained backing for Scottish independence for the first time. YouGov poll: The mental health and wellbeing of employees are not supported by legal firms Law News 15:47 3-Feb-23. backed Scotland becoming an independent country. Two new UK-wide opinion polls have added weight to the growing belief that Labour would be close to catching the SNP if a General Election were held anytime soon. Scottish opinion polls (Westminster voting intention) since the December 2019 general election are listed here . The above analysis of support for Scottish independence draws from the published polls of a number of leading firms: YouGov, Survation, ComRes, Redfield and Wilton, Panelbase, Detlapoll, Opinium and IpsosMori. Please read our privacy policy and terms of use before signing up. You can unsubscribe whenever you want. In the 2016 independence referendum, some 44.7% of Scottish voters backed Scotland becoming an independent country. Politics.co.uks current Westminster projections are also drawn through an aggregate extrapolation of the data on election polls. The Conservatives have climbed by three percentage points to 33 per cent since the last poll. The latest opinion polling from outlet YouGov shows respondents relatively downbeat on the state of the US economy over the next six months, anticipating that inflation will rise, there will be further interest rate hikes, and gas prices will increase. The survey puts Yes and No roughly neck-and-neck, which has been a consistent trend in polling for over a year. As a smaller poll, the margin of error on the major categories is approximately 4.4 percentage points, compared to 3 for typical polls of 1000 respondents. tax was introduced a year early in Scotland by the UK government. The end of 2021, showed how quickly politics can change. The latest YouGov/Times voting intention poll, conducted a fortnight after Rishi Sunak became prime minister, shows Labour maintaining a significant lead over the Conservatives. At the heart of our company is a global online community, where millions of people and thousands of political, cultural and commercial organizations engage in a continuous conversation about their beliefs, behaviours and brands. A majority of Scots back same-sex marriage, according to the most detailed survey of public opinion since MSPs began moves to change the law. Latest general election voting intention opinion polls - Mark Pack Meanwhile, the latest opinion polls suggest it will be a knife-edge after a recent drop in SNP's approval rating and a small rise in Labour and Conservatives. The latest Panelbase survey. Scottish election 2021: Polling expert says SNP majority 'on a knife In the case of Wales, Politics.co.uk has drawn on the most recent YouGov poll produced on 27 February. The historic oil recipe is based on what was used at the coronation of Queen Elizabeth II, the formula of which has been used for hundreds of years. This compares with the position in the 2014 Independence referendum, when 55.3% of Scottish voters opposed plans for an Independent Scotland, with 44.7% voting in favour. Rather than drop back after IndyRef1, and with the SNP remaining in government in Edinburgh under new first minister Nicola Sturgeon, support for Scottish independence continued to rise. Please try different keywords. The poll, commissioned by WalesOnline has found support for the Tories in Wales now sits at just 19%. Truss Widens UK Poll Lead as U-Turn on Public-Worker Pay Gives Sunak Hope With the Russian invasion of Ukraine heavily dominating the UK news agenda, the position of the UKs political parties became somewhat becalmed during the spring on 2022 with no notable movements in the polls. Former prime minister Boris Johnson, net zero secretary Grant Shapps, and transport secretary Mark Harper, are amongst some of the leading political figures who would lose their seats to Labour. Polling, even using the same question, can show systematic differences between different polling organisations and sponsors. Support for Scottish independence nudged up to 50% for the first time in 2019, soon after Boris Johnson became prime minister. NewsNow aims to be the world's most accurate and comprehensive aggregator of news about Scotland opinion polls, which are carried out by various polling companies, including members of the British Polling Council (BPC), such as YouGov, Ipsos MORI, and Survation. Reform UK are also polling in the region of 6-7%. Journalism in Britain is under threat. Savanta (23 February) which placed Labour on 45%, the Conservatives on 31%, and the Liberal Democrats on 9%. A YouGov poll earlier this week gave Truss a 19-point advantage over Sunak in a head-to-head. Our current polling average is based on polls by Savanta ComRes (fieldwork completed May 4). Latest YouGov poll suggests many voters in Scotland have dismissed warnings about the economic impacts of a yes vote YouGov's opinion poll for the Sunday Times suggests the yes. Click to get a sign-in link sent to your email. By the second half of 2020, in November 2020, the Yes campaign reached a record level of 56% in the polls. In the case of Scotland, Politics.co.uk drew on the most recent Scottish voting intention polling data from Survation on 18 February. Under this unlikely but not impossible scenario, the Electoral Calculus seat predictor says Labour would end up with 37 Scottish MPs, the SNP would have 10, the Tories seven and the Lib Dems five. In February 2023, 47 percent of British adults would vote for the Labour Party in a . Britain Elects. Automotive. Opinion polling on Scottish independence - Wikipedia Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "If another Scottish Independence Referendum were held today, how would you vote?" In the case of Northern Ireland, with its own political parties, Politics.co.uk has drawn on the LucidTalk opinion poll of 3 February. The YouGov survey for the Sunday Times of 1,088 Scottish voters shows support for the party dropped from 50% to 44% in the Holyrood constituency vote and from 40% to 36% in the regional list,. Energy & utilities. The latest YouGov panel has shown a shift against independence in several areas. 2019 thelondoneconomic.com - TLE, International House, 24 Holborn Viaduct, London EC1A 2BN. The voting intention was not weighted by likelihood to vote. Scottish election polls and latest odds - who will win in 2021? And 50% of those who voted Lib Dem in 2019 would now vote for Labour, up from 27% at the start of this week. Please read our privacy policy and terms of use before signing up. Two new polls suggest near-wipeout for the SNP as Labour's Scottish Poll shows Scottish independence is not just a nationalist cause Week-in-Review: Covid sleaze is back and more politically potent than ever, Former Conservative party chairman: Sue Gray appointment proves Starmer is man of the establishment. Voting Intention: Con 25%, Lab 48% (9-10 Nov 2022) | YouGov Which party will you vote for? However as the Scottish parliament became fully operational in Edinburgh, support for independence initially waned, trending around 30% in the first decade of the twentieth century. The result of an IndyRef today 2 March 2023. In early 2023, the No campaign had already regained an opinion poll lead, doing so at a time that coincided with the discussions about trans gender rights in the Scottish Parliament, and with the UK government subsequently invoking Section 35 of the Scotland Act for the first time in relation to the Gender Recognition Reform Bill. The tide may be turning on Nicola Sturgeon and the Nats as a YouGov poll suggests the party could lose 23 seats while another UK survey suggests a collapse to just TEN MPs at the next General Election. Boris Johnson may have misled Parliament over Partygate, investigating MPs have claimed, Matt Hancocks reaction to his affair with Gina Coladangelo has been revealed in leaked WhatsApp messages, Numerous Russian attacks in eastern Donetsk have been repelled in the past day, Ukraines military has said, The White House has confirmed that Joe Biden had a cancerous skin lesion removed last month, At least 17 people have died in a fire at a fuel depot in Indonesia, Saving Private Ryan actor Tom Sizemore has died aged 61 after a brain aneurysm, Labour were just two points behind the SNP in Scotland before Nicola Sturgeon's shock, Support for Scottish independence at 46% before Nicola Sturgeon resigned poll. The YouGov survey for the Sunday Times of 1,088 Scottish voters shows support for the party dropped from 50 per cent to 44 per cent in the Holyrood constituency vote and from 40 per cent to 36. conservative party Labour Party The YouGov polling for The Times also suggests widespread public dissatisfaction with the government's economic plan. This feed updates continuously 24/7 so check back regularly. It's Andrew's Previews for. Britain Elects (@BritainElects) / Twitter : medium.com. Ballot Box Scotland - Democracy in Detail The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous Scottish Parliament election, held . Consumer packaged goods (CPG) Eating & drinking. Although it is only a relatively small Scottish sample (148 people out of 1702 polled in total across the UK), the results would see 23 Nats lose their seats to leave them with 25 MPs. Rishi Sunak's poll bounce shows that he's still the Tories' best hope It found that the yes vote was ahead in only one age group, amongst 25-to-39-year-olds, while in all others no. [1] Following that judgment, the SNP reiterated its intention to campaign in the next UK general election as a de facto independence referendum. Todays poll found that, among those who expressed a view, 76 per cent of voters believe the Scottish governments plans to change the law on gender recognition would pose a safety risk in women-only spaces, such as prisons, hospital wards and changing rooms while some 24 per cent disagreed. Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "Do you agree that Scotland should become an independent country?" should not be a referendum on Scottish Copyright 2023 YouGov PLC. Britain Elects. This includes a majority of those who agree the people should be freely able to express their transgender identity. ", Data in More than 5 years is amalgamation of 5 to 10 years and more than 10 years, Question asked was "Should the Scottish Government be allowed to hold an independence referendum next year? UK PM hopeful Sunak would have edge over Truss with swing voters - poll UK Opinion Polls News | Latest UK Opinion Polls - NewsNow Labour conference: Party surges in polls as 'clown show' economics The latest monthly polling averages on Scottish independence show No campaigners to have consolidated their lead in the polls once again. We only ask you to donate what you can afford, with an option to cancel your subscription at any point. and given the options of "Yes" and "No". Scottish independence poll: do people in Scotland want to be /Which party are you most inclined to support? In response to the Redfield and Wilton poll, Scots Labour peer Lord Foulkes tweeted: "SNP on the slide. This is the same constant level of dont knows that has been seen in most polls over the last 5 years. The YouGov poll released on Monday night put the lead for the no campaign at six points, down from 14 points in the middle of August and 22 points early last month. Copyright 2023 YouGov PLC. Easy-to-digest video clips. Scottish Opinion Polls - Electoral Calculus First Minister of Scotland: Runners and Riders. Ron DeSantis now leads former President Donald Trump by 5 percentage points in the race for the 2024 GOP presidential nomination. Don't miss out! A band of rain, sleet and snow is expected to move south during Monday followed by frequent snow and hail showers, Ken Bruce leaves BBC with veiled jibe after they ended his show early over concerns was free advertising for a rival, The 72-year-old Glaswegian left Radio to join Greatest Hits Radio in April after the Beeb told him to step down 17 days early, Teaching strikes held off as union on brink of striking pay deal. Something went wrong, please try again later. UK Opinion Polls News | Latest UK Opinion Polls - NewsNow Latest News The latest YouGov/Times vote intention poll shows the Labour party on 54% of the vote, up nine points on their previous record high with YouGov on Monday. Explore what the world thinks, discover our solutions, and join our community to share your opinion. Once again the responses vary with exactly how the question is asked. All Rights Reserved. Get the latest news from the Express straight to your inbox. The government is becoming increasingly authoritarian and our media is run by a handful of billionaires, most of whom reside overseas and all of them have strong political allegiances and financial motivations. Scottish election 2021: Polling expert says SNP majority 'on a knife-edge' Small movements in the polls between now and May 6 could make an "important difference to the outcome", according to . President has no right to express opinion on legality of LG polls: AKD Sri Lanka Daily Mirror 02:32 25-Feb-23. UK PM Johnson's Conservatives see support slump to lowest since Sponsors of pro-Obi opinion polls creating grounds for post-election violence. The latest YouGov poll, of 1,088 voters in Scotland from January 23 to January 26, found that Sturgeons approval rating had slipped into negative territory, from +7 to -4, since October. In the early part of 2023, Labour had started to increase its polling lead again and was once again approaching 50% in the polls. 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Sorry, no headlines or news topics were found. Changes are shown as (vs that poll / vs last election). Support for the SNP, for Nicola Sturgeon and for Scottish independence has fallen sharply as the partys crisis over transgender rights deepens. As always you can unsubscribe at any time. Voting Intention polls & surveys | YouGov We do not charge or put articles behind a paywall. Boris Johnson Goads Rishi Sunak Over Poor Tory Poll Ratings In terms of translating these election poll findings into a projected make up of the current House of Commons, Politics.co.uk has used the Butler method to calculate the current swing between the parties compared to the 2019 General Election. YouGov is a global public opinion and data company. Results are limited to only those who state they will definitely vote. This feed updates continuously 24/7 so check back regularly. The poll was conducted for The Sunday Times over the past week as a review for the Scottish Prison Service found that the process of admitting transgender people to prisons should be improved in the wake of the Isla Bryson case. % 28 45 9 4 1 3 7 2 Con Lab Lib Dem SNP The poll for the Sun found. 23% 22 Feb: PeoplePolling: GB News UK According to YouGov's latest poll of Welsh voters, the Tories are set to be left with just two MPs in the country after the next general election. The pollster found Labour on 50 per cent of the vote an increase of three points from their last poll. The latest voting intention survey puts Labour a whopping 28 points ahead of the Tories, with Rishi Sunak's party flirting with sub-20 numbers in what would be a historic low. However, coinciding with the roll out of the coronavirus vaccine and the conclusion of Boris Johnsons Brexit deal at the end of 2020, the Conservative party once again opened up a significant election poll lead over Labour. While polls should always be treated with caution, Labour supporters have celebrated the latest figures. New YouGov projections suggest Tories could become UK's FOURTH party Analysis pieces written by YouGovs data journalists based on data collected about or relating to Scottish independence. The figures show the Conservatives on 25% of the vote (+1 from our previous survey on 1-2 November) to Labour's 48% (-2). Stay informed. Six reasons Labour might not win the next election alone, Urban Flight A real threat to many formerly safe seats in the Blue Wall. Prior to the collapse in Conservative polling in 2022, it was suggested that equalising constituencies may assist the Conservatives by as many as 10 seats, given that the partys seats in the south of England are currently numerically larger than those found elsewhere in the country. Labour scalps would include Tommy Sheppard, Angus MacNeil, Douglas Chapman and Stewart McDonald. At the heart of our company is a global online community, where millions of people and thousands of political, cultural and commercial organizations engage in a continuous conversation about their beliefs, behaviours and brands. BBC Scotland Gender Recognition Act Poll, conducted by Savanta ComRes, reported by the BBC 17 Feb 2022Full Results I DataMain findings: 57% would support making the process to acquire a gender recognition certificate easier but that support dropped when asked about specific proposals. The TLE shop is also now open, with all profits going to supporting our work. Poll Analysis: YouGov 17th - 20th of February 2023 - Ballot Box Scotland New poll shows majority of Scots in favour of same-sex marriage Please click 'Create Account and Subscribe' to create a new account and subscribe to our email alerts. N.B. This means that we may include adverts from us and third parties based on our knowledge of you. Respondents giving answers between 0 to 4 and 6 to 10 have been mapped to No and Yes here respectively, while respondents giving 5 or "don't know" as answer have been assigned as undecided.
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