Theres a reason he can be in play for a first-round leader, for FanDuel value, top-10s and even outrights, particularly on Bermuda courses. Denny McCarthy: McCarthy had a great showing against a strong field last week and could be trending toward that first PGA Tour win. They'll eat up a large portion of your PGA DFS budget, so making the right call on the value of PGA DFS picks will be critical when locking in your 2023 Sony Open PGA DFS strategy. Fortunately, putting tends to have massive swings to the positive and negative each week, so if Conners can continue to strike the ball as well as he did in 2020, its just going to take an average putting performance or two to find his second tour win. I like Adam this week for numerous reasons. Bermuda: Mark Hubbard. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) (CO/IL/IN/LA/MD/MI/NJ/PA/TN/WV/WY), 1-800-NEXT STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (KS/NH), 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org (CT), 1-800-BETS OFF (IA), visit OPGR.org (OR), or 1-888-532-3500(VA). WED UPDATE: WEATHER, FINAL BETS, DRAFTKINGS NOTES, 2023 Pebble Beach Picks & Preview | Info & Research | Stats/Tools, 2023 Pebble Beach DraftKings Picks | Player/Course Notes | Own Projections, Subscribe To the PME YouTube | Apple | Spotify | Insta | Twitter | E-Mail, Field: 156 PlayersCut: Top 60 and Ties after 54 HolesLineup Lock: Thursday, February 2Defending Champ: Tom Hoge. While Cam Davis appears like hes hurt or is terrible now based on his past few outings. We missed out on him last year while he was figuring out his game on the Korn Ferry Tour, but now hes back and hes having himself a nice little year, starting with a top-five finish back in the Fall at the Fortinet and adding a pair of top-17 finishes in 11 starts since. I would expect that to regress massively, especially on Bermudagrass, a surface that has historically been Svenssons worst over the years. Mayakoba: Viktor Hovland. 2 Scottie Scheffler and Jon Rahm. In fact, the 24-year-old enters this week's event ranked inside the top-25 in strokes gained: tee-to-green (1.079), strokes gained: off-the-tee (.824) and driving accuracy percentage (66.96%). Harold Varner III hasn't converted on his first PGA Tour victory yetbut you can make money betting on him in the first round. He's been hanging around 30th place in his last four starts. The issue comes on and around the green for Conners. Scheffler finished the year ranked fifth in strokes gained/off the tee and 13th in SG/tee-to-green. Or would a player with recent success at Riviera, like 2021 winner Max Homa (20-1) or 2022 runner-up Morikawa (21-1), put you in a better position to win? Tough scene. While his irons let him down at the South Course during the Farmers, his putter certainly did not, and Pebble is a totally different layout for approaches. Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. How it works: Each week, our experts from PGATOUR.COM will make their selections in PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf. Monterey Peninsula has the largest greens in the rotation at 6,000 square feet, which is still slightly below TOUR average. Sign up for DraftKings and experience the game inside the game. Void in ONT. Ryan occasionally links to merchants of his choosing, and GNN may earn a commission from sales generated by those links. Doc Redman's elite ball-striking numbersplus some great finishes to end 2020have the attention of our experts. Sungjae Im: His ballstriking should carry him a long way this week, but the South Korean has also been on a strong run of late. A sneaky underrated reason to fade him: I hear hes an elite Call of Duty fan, and with the new game coming out, theres reason to believe he hasnt been practicing quite as much recently. Bermuda: Denny McCarthy. Spieth, meanwhile, is one of the most experienced players in the 2023 Sony Open field and he's coming off a T-13 finish at the Sentry Tournament of Champions. Scottie Scheffler is officially No. Meanwhile, the other two in the group haven't been able to find their footing multiple weeks in a row. Abraham Ancer played in the final group of the Masters in November, but he's still looking for his first PGA Tour victory. Although the distance is non-existent, the Brit has been the most accurate driver in the field over the past 24 rounds per Fantasy National. Harold Varner III (particularly for first-round leader bets). Since 2020, for players with at least seven measured rounds on Poa, Jonas Blixt, Justin Suh, Zac Blair, Kevin Kisner, Brice Garnett, Matt Kuchar, and Maverick McNealy are all averaging +0.9 SG:PUTT per round on Poa greens. Im secured a T-13 finish at last week's Sentry Tournament of Champions and he'll enter this week's event confident he can have another strong showing in Hawaii. In the measured events on the circuit, hes been stout from tee-to-green and hasnt lost strokes putting since last summer. I expect Poston to bounce back from a disappointing performance at Riviera and roll easily over Svensson. THE MATERIAL ON THIS SITE MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED, DISTRIBUTED, TRANSMITTED, CACHED OR OTHERWISE USED, EXCEPT WITH THE PRIOR WRITTEN PERMISSION OF DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. 2023 DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED, Golf Betting and Fantasy Picks: 10 players who will make you money in 2021, make informed decisions regarding betting on golf tournaments and daily fantasy golf competitions. managing editor: Denny McCarthy (28-1, DraftKings) Dennys been playing some great golfcontending at Pebble Beach (fourth-place) and playing well last week at the Genesis (T-14)and I think hes finally ready to break through for a victory. There is no value in picking a guy who hasn't played a PGA Tour event since last summer and missed the cut. Now, were finally catching fire again, with Gdula cashing another winner at the WM Phoenix Open (Scottie Scheffler, 13-1) and Rick Gehman correctly predicting Jon Rahms Genesis Invitational victory at +750. Mayo: Aaron Wise (22-1, DraftKings) Maybe hes actually priced properly, but even with the weak field, I cant bet him at a shorter price than I laid with Homa last week. . The others are a list of studs: Jon Rahm, Rory McIlroy, Xander Schauffele, Dustin Johnson, Patrick Reed, Patrick Cantlay, Daniel Berger, Tyrrell Hatton and Tony Finau. Both stats combine to form the cumulative strokes gained/ball-striking, putting Conners third on tour. The golf expert has been on a roll on his picks since last season. He hasn't finished higher than 13th in the past four years at Riviera. He also sits second in GIR rate, especially important when the field is hovering around 60 percent in Palm Beach Gardens. "He just keeps hanging around," Holliman says, "but he's rarely a true threat." Andy Lack, RickRunGood.com and Inside Golf podcast: Aaron Wise (25-1, FanDuel) While Aaron Wise was a popular breakout candidate pick at the start of the season, its undeniable that he has not gotten off to the start that many were hoping for. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. We've now cashed outright winners the past two weeks, so jump on board and scroll down to read our best bets for the 2023 Honda Classic. But that was on different grass. Brandon Gdula, managing editor and analyst for NumberFire, a FanDuel daily-fantasy analysis company, recently won the 2018 FSWA Golf Writer of the Year. American Express: Brian Harman. As well as contributing to Golf Digest, Andy is also a data analyst and writer for RickRunGood.com, where he covers PGA Tour betting and daily fantasy. Pat Mayo is an award-winning video host and producer of long and short-form content, and the host of The Pat Mayo Experience daily talk show. Recently, weve seen the irons get hot at certain times, too. You can only see who it is here. From Gehman: As golf wagering becomes more mature, you will be presented with many different optionsand the first-round leader market is incredibly fun but also have more strategy involved than you might think. The former American Express winner has a proven track record of delivering at water-intensive golf courses that place an emphasis on middle-iron play, with a runner-up and a 16th at TPC Twin Cities, a 22nd at TPC Sawgrass, a 24th at TPC Southwind, and a 27th here at PGA National. Dustin Johnson has hit 127 total drives over 300 yards at Pebble Beach Golf Links during this event. When at his best, Tway drives it long so hell be able to club down and hope for more precision around PGA National this week. Just hope this is the week it all click for him. Andy Lack is a PGA Tour writer and podcaster from New York City who now resides in Los Angeles. Shriners: Emiliano Grillo. Green sizes at Pebble Beach at just 3,500 square feet. Cole ranks top five in the field in scrambling and sand saves for the year and has done his best work over his short PGA career on shorter courses. Fading Hideki Matsuyama was also the right move, as the defending champ barely cracked the top 50. Cantlay was in the top 40 in every strokes gained category last season, and he leads the tour in greens in regulation so far in this campaign. Hes one of the longest hitters off-the-tee and is showing improvements both on and around the putting surfaces. Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "The Loop" (above), where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make your bets and pick your fantasy lineups. He was in the top 10 in every one. 2022 Rocket Mortgage Classic Fantasy golf expert picks One player Gates isn't hesitating to back this week is Cantlay, who doesn't bring great value but will help you win. Gehman: Sungjae Im This is seemingly a no-brainer. In 34 starts since the beginning of the 2018-19 season, Scheffler has lost strokes off the tee to the field only one time. Whether you're betting on golf, playing in a fantasy golf leagues or competing in a DFS (DraftKings, FanDuel) event, our picks highlight the top players to watch this week. Davis, on the other hand, has MCd three straight times and seems to be a bit lost with every club but the driver right now. The 30-year-old. He's gaining a staggering 3.25 strokes per round over his. Eligibility restrictions apply. This allows him to find the best PGA DFS values and create optimal lineups that he shares only over at SportsLine. Gehman: Joseph Bramlett (50-1, DraftKings) Bramlett enters the week having made seven straight cuts and earning a T-13 in La Jolla and T-7 in Pebble Beach over his last two. Here's who else is playing PGA Tour Watch tour pro. section: | slug: 2023-sony-open-dfs-top-draftkings-fanduel-daily-fantasy-golf-picks-pga-lineups-advice-strategy | sport: golf | route: article_single.us | This golfer is on a roll lately, finishing in the top 15 in three straight tournaments. Head to SportsLine now to see his top daily Fantasy golf picks for the Sony Open 2023. Lack: JT Poston (-110) over Adam Svensson (DraftKings) Svensson is coming off a ninth-place finish at the Genesis and JT Poston is coming off a MC on the number, but results can be deceiving. From Gdula: Munoz is one of the most balanced golfers in the world. The Spaniard's improvement on and around the greens makes him a player without weakness. This guy seems to tear it up overseas on the DP World tour, but hasnt been able to catch his footing over here in the states. 3. He gains 0.66 strokes putting on this surface each round, per the RickRunGood.com golf database the best mark in the field. He also became the first international winner at of this event since Vijay Singh in 2004. USE OF AND/OR REGISTRATION ON ANY PORTION OF THIS SITE CONSTITUTES ACCEPTANCE OF OURVISITOR AGREEMENT(UPDATED 1/6/23),PRIVACY AND COOKIES NOTICE(UPDATED 1/4/23) ANDCALIFORNIA PRIVACY NOTICE. For the Genesis Invitational 2023, Holliman is backing several longshots, including one priced around 30-1. You can see it at SportsLine. That at least gives me hope for a few outlier weeks on the putting surfaces. Yes, he did gain an unsustainable amount of strokes with the putter, but he did make noticeable progress off-the-tee and on approach from WMPO to the Genesis. Farmers: Will Zalatoris. Odds and lines subject to change. With a 16th-place finish at TPC Twin Cities and a 13th-place finish at the FedEx St. Jude Championship, its clear that he does his best work on water-logged courses that place an emphasis on keeping the ball in play off the tee and middle-iron play, and I expect him to be firmly in the mix come Sunday afternoon at PGA National. Matthew Fitzpatrick, Viktor Hovland, and AT&T sponsored Jordan Spieth headline the field of the once historic tournament. From Brandon Gdula, FanDuel/numberFire managing editor: This ones not that bold, but Wolff is one of just six golfers over the final 100 rounds on the PGA Tour last season who ranked in the 75th percentile or better in strokes gained/off the tee, approach and putting, plus driving distance and birdie-or-better rate, according to data from FantasyNational.com. Best of luck this week! I dont bring this up to dub Henley the next JT but rather to magnify how good Henley has been over a large sample. cashed outright winners the past two weeks, most accurate driver in the field over the past 24 rounds per Fantasy National, create the golf stats and research website Fantasy National. Of his four top-five finishes in 2020, one of them was at a major and two others were in the FedEx Cup Playoffs. Redman is proving to be one of the more talented ball-strikers on tour, finishing 11th in strokes gained/approach for the 2020 seasonand he has already improved his putting, lifting him to two top-four finishes in six starts in the new season. The ball-striking has been really good lately, and he can scramble and putt as well as anyone here, which can be clutch given how difficult of a test this can be. Thankfully at Golf Digest, we listen well. From Mayo: Can Bubba fix his broken putter? Thankfully at Golf Digest, we listen well. Each lineup consists of four starters and two bench players that can be rotated. So we asked these experts to dig through those numbers to give us their predictions for players who are likely to routinely deliver on their odds and fantasy prices for 2021and help put more money in your pockets. Hello, Aaron Rai. Poston actually struck the ball better than Svensson at Riviera, and he now returns to a course that should suit his game. If he isn't locked in, he could find some trouble. While he had been struggling to find form earlier in the year, the 27-year-old has proven his ball-striking upside by gaining 2.1 strokes on approach in a world-class field last week at Riviera. GOLF DIGEST MAY EARN A PORTION OF SALES FROM PRODUCTS THAT ARE PURCHASED THROUGH OUR SITE AS PART OF OUR AFFILIATE PARTNERSHIPS WITH RETAILERS. In his free time, Andy can likely be found on a golf course. Hes got three top-10s to his name on tour since July without great form surrounding them. Rick Gehman is the founder of RickRunGood.com and the RickRunGood YouTube Channel, is one of the industrys leading experts on golf DFS and gambling. Up until the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, Griffin had made nine consecutive cuts with four top-30 finishes. PGA DFS players entering tournaments, cash games, or 50-50s on FanDuel or DraftKings for the 2023 Sony Open will have plenty of tough choices to make. Gordons just as long as Mitchell (averages over 307 yards off the tee), so I think hes worth the flier. The tournament tees off Thursday across three courses in La Quinta, Calif., and the average winning score over the past 10 years is 24-under par. Visit SportsLine now to see the complete PGA DFS player pool for FanDuel and DraftKings, all from the expert who's made over $2 million in daily Fantasy sports, and find out. (Subscribe for video or audio). 6-keys: media/spln/golf/reg/free/stories, at He got his first PGA Tour win five tournaments ago on a course with Bermuda greens as well. Ballengee can be reached by email at ryan[at]thegolfnewsnet.com. fantasy picks | GolfDigest.com Showing 1 - 10 of 9,065 PGA Tour Genesis Invitational, topped by Tiger Woods, has impressively loaded field. (Subscribe for video or audio).Mayo (@ThePME) won the 2021 Fantasy Sports Writing Association Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year and was a finalist for three FSWA Awards in 2023 (Best Podcast, Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year, Golf Writer of the Year). The irons just arent what they used to be for him. You can only see his fantasy. CJ Cup: Matt Fitzpatrick. From Gdula: Henley has been the best iron player on the PGA Tour over the past 50 rounds, via FantasyNational.com. I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is ThePME) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Follow him on Twitter: @adplacksports. How it works: Each week, our experts from PGATOUR.COM will make their selections in PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf. And the irons were just as good, finishing eight among all tour players. You can see who else to back this week at SportsLine. Thats some great early-season value on a top-tier all-around golfer whose performance is grounded in elite data. Looking at it another way, Blixt, Suh, Blair, Kuchar, William McGirt, JB Holmes, Taylor Moore, Denny McCarthy, Troy Merritt, and McNealy are the only players in this field gaining against the field in over 70% of rounds on Poa putting surfaces over that stretch. When youre researching the statistics keep this in mind as half the rounds golfers have played historically at this event are not weighted in the Strokes Gained metrics. January 10, 2022 DFS Golf Picks Digest the data, predictions, and insights from this article to help with your fantasy golf picks for the Sony Open in Hawaii, and check out our PGA Lineup Optimizer to make more informed player selections for your DFS lineups. Now, Holliman has ranked his top golfers for The American Express 2023, and revealed his Fantasy golf picks and advice.
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