We also look at the future of inflation with economist Kenneth Rogoff. They also previewed and caught up on some elections, including Alaskas special election to replace longtime Alaska congressman Don Young that took place this past weekend. The Gerrymandering Project: California | FiveThirtyEight Politics As the House Select Committee for Jan. 6 publishes its final report, the crew considers what the committee's impact has been on American politics and former President Donald Trump's standing with voters. They also take stock of how Americans are thinking about climate change and government initiatives to stem carbon emissions, after President Biden announced a goal of cutting U.S. emissions to half their 2005 levels by 2030. The conventional wisdom is that if former President Trump wants the Republican presidential nomination in 2024, it's his. Cardozo Law Professor Kate Shaw discusses that evidence and its legal ramifications. 2022 Midterms LIVE (Audio Replay POD) - The Heartland POD (podcast But some Republicans are still jockeying for position to be the next leader of the party, the most prominent of which may be Florida Governor Ron DeSantis. The Rules of the Game podcast discusses and compares democratic institutions from around the world. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Georgians handed control of the Senate to Democrats in a pair of dramatic runoffs and voted for a Democrat for president for the first time in 28 years. 10 Wednesday AM Reads. The director of the Harvard Study of Adult Development -- the longest study of human life ever conducted -- concluded in a new book that close personal relationships are the "one crucial factor [that] stands out for the consistency and power of its ties to physical health, mental health and longevity." In this late-night installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Nate Silver and Galen Druke put their Model Talk hats on and discuss the initial results from the 2022 midterms. It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. The crew talks about the appeal of celebrity candidates and what it tells us about our politics. They also have a good or bad use of polling on the topic of death and consider whether a recent Facebook hearing will lead to new regulations for the monolithic technology company. Galen and Nate discuss what to make of it in this installment of Model Talk.". They also address concerns that the 2020 Census resulted in an undercount of Latinos. Galen Druke speaks with political science professors Sunshine Hillygus and Patrick Eagan about the history of wedge issues and how they shape U.S. politics. How FiveThirtyEight Calculates Pollster Ratings. We continue our conversation about challenges to democracy in America by talking with Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger. If we said there was a 70 percent chance a candidate would win a race, did that actually happen 70 percent of the time? They also analyze a new poll from YouGov that breaks down why 78 percent of Americans say they have changed their mind on one or more political issue over the course of their lives. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. Subscribe and listen Also available wherever you listen to podcasts Google Stitcher iHeartRadio Castbox TuneIn The team also discusses public opinion on gun laws after recent mass shootings in Texas, New York and California. And lastly, they check-in on the gubernatorial recall efforts in California that are very likely to result in a recall election for Governor Gavin Newsom. Feb. 28GLASTONBURY When Jonathan K. Luiz starts work as town manager March 31, he will be making $190,000 per year. They also consider whether the ensuing confirmation process will impact the countrys broader political environment in a Midterm election year. More Information Location: United States Genres: News & Politics Podcasts Politics News Networks: ABC News (US) Description: FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast Feb. 21, 2023 Politics Podcast: Some Republicans Are Souring On Aid To Ukraine Feb. 16, 2023 Nikki Haley Has Tough Competition In Trump And DeSantis By Galen. Sept. 25, 2014. negro-leagues-player- ratings. The crew discusses what the political environment is likely to look like in 2022 based on history and current indicators. Nate and Galen open the mailbag and answer listeners' questions about politics, polling and anything else on their minds. The crew, joined by ABC News White House Correspondent Karen Travers, discusses Trump's legacy, how he changed politics and what the lasting effects will be. And if partisan loyalists were to make their way onto the Fed board, that degree of power could be abused. The crew reacts to the results in Tuesdays primaries in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Idaho, Kentucky and Oregon. We speak with the director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute, Patrick Murray, who wrote an article titled I blew it. They also analyze the court's other recent rulings on gun restrictions and school prayer and preview some of Tuesday's biggest primary elections. They also ask whether it's too early to conclude that the leak of a draft Supreme Court opinion overturning Roe has had little impact on the political environment. The crew talks about what led to Cuomo's resignation, how New Yorkers feel about his replacement, and what this means for New Yorks 2022 Democratic primary race for governor. Galen Druke discusses the context of these laws with Theodore Johnson, the Director of the Fellows Program at the Brennan Center for Justice. Galen Druke talks to Nicole Hemmer about her new book, "Partisans: The Conservative Revolutionaries Who Remade American Politics in the 1990s.". This is the final episode. Thats Changing. They also debate how reliable exit polls are in determining what motivates voters and consider how Democrats were able to overcome intra-party disagreements to pass a $1 trillion infrastructure bill. In the immediate aftermath of the Jan. 6th attack on the U.S. Capitol, it appeared that Republican leaders might be ready to break ties with then-President Trump once and for all. The crew looks at why it took 15 votes to get Rep. Kevin McCarthy elected House Speaker and what that process says about the two years ahead and the GOP more broadly. Mental Health AI & Data Science Politics News Business Investing English United States 365 episodes since Nov. 1, 2018 episodic IN THIS PODCAST FiveThirtyEight Politics ( Businessweek) The book is the first big reported account of the 2020 campaign in its entirety and is written by Jonathan Allen, senior political analyst with NBC News, and Amie Parnes, senior correspondent for The Hill. PODCAST-19 brings you the latest evidence on the COVID-19 pandemic. Jury Duty: Who Gets Called, And Who Actually Serves | WUNC They also preview next week's mayoral election in Chicago and ask whether a new poll of Arizona's 2024 Senate race is actually telling us anything useful. At the beginning of the millennium, about two-thirds of Americans opposed same-sex marriage, and a third supported it. The crew looks at how the Johnson & Johnson vaccine pause shaped public opinion of that vaccine and willingness to be vaccinated more broadly. They also debate whether phone or online polling is a better tool for gauging Americans' views on sensitive topics like the death penalty, and they preview a forthcoming report on how FiveThirtyEight's forecast models did in 2020. Last week, we began to explore the most high-profile of those mayoral contests -- the New York City Democratic primary. The crew discusses how the scandals surrounding Walker have evolved over the course of his Senate campaign and how the latest could affect the outcome of the race. The crew discusses why the number of independents has been growing and what it means for American politics. This is the first episode. Rev also gives transcribers the autonomy to work for as much or little as they want. They also scrutinize a new survey that suggests most Americans think "The West Wing" and other political TV shows are reflective of how politics works. New York City-based political reporters Gloria Pazmino and Erin Durkin discuss the current lay of the land in the Democratic mayoral primary and the issues that are motivating voters with less than a month until the election. Nevada Democrats introduced a bill on Monday that would change their state's presidential nominating contest from a caucus to a primary and also dislodge New Hampshire from its position as the first primary in the nation. If Europe, and of the shop leave us a rating or review in the Apple podcast store when you rating. The crew discusses Manchins rationale and where Democrats might go from here. I'm Galen Truk. Also, CalMatters Politics reporter Laurel Rosenhall and political analyst Paul Mitchell join to discuss the status of the California gubernatorial recall election. 71 Episodes Share Follow Seasons About 38 minutes | Feb 16, 2023 The Hero Who Rode His Segway Off a Cliff Steve Jobs called It "the most amazing piece of technology since the PC." According to Jeff Bezos It was not only "revolutionary," but infinitely commercial. Crime analyst Jeff Asher discussed what those numbers can -- and can't -- tell us, and explains the challenges in collecting crime data. On the Conversations with Tyler podcast, produced by the Mercatus Center at George Mason University, celebrated polymath and academic economist Tyler Cowen explores the minds and methods of today's top thinkers. Nate Cohn, the chief political analyst at The New York Times, joins the crew to discuss the results of the latest Times/Siena College midterm polling. Cuomo denied the allegations, but has faced overwhelming pressure to resign from fellow Democrats, including President Joe Biden. The crew breaks down a poll that asked Americans to identify from good to evil and lawful to chaotic on the Dungeons and Dragons alignment chart. The podcast turns its focus abroad, to Canada and Germany, to see how other democracies' electoral systems work and what cleavages their politics are facing. Our podcast helps listeners understand what they can be certain about, and what is still unknown. Galen Druke speaks with the director of the Harvard study, Robert Waldinger, about the lessons his findings have for politics in America. The crew discusses how Americans are feeling about COVID-19 and what types of restrictions they do and don't support after almost two years. The crew discusses what comes next in Democrats' attempt to pass election reforms, after their proposals hit roadblocks in the Senate. The full series is available now on Apple Podcasts (https://apple.co/2QQw8e9), Spotify (https://spoti.fi/3ukYgoq), or wherever you listen by searching "In Plain Sight: Lady Bird Johnson." He rejected the presidents requests and has consistently spoken out against conspiracy theories surrounding the election. Samuel Charap is a senior political scientist at the RAND Corporation and author of the book Everyone Loses: The Ukraine Crisis and the Ruinous Contest for Post-Soviet Eurasia. According to a recent Marist poll, inflation is now Americans leading economic concern. FiveThirtyEight's political content often includes fact-driven statistical analysis. Editor Chadwick Matlin turns the tables on Galen Druke and asks him questions about what he's learned from covering the 2022 election and his time as host of the podcast. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses the best way to poll Americans satisfaction with their own lives and the direction of the country. The crew discusses the Virginia and new Jersey gubernatorial races a week before election day, and guesses how Americans feel about the potential provisions in the Democrats spending bill. Then Nathaniel Rakich and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux join to discuss how abortion has played a role in elections this year and when we should know the results of next months midterms. The Supreme Court is probably the most recognizable example, fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts - lavamusic.is All you have to do is click the iTunes button below to subscribe to this podcast. 01:00 PM. January 23, 2023 Examined What comes next after Texas school shooting? FiveThirtyEight Podcasts - FiveThirtyEight Podcasts Politics Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. How did the polling averages and seat-gain projections compare with the actual results? The Perks Workers Want Also Make Them More Productive, Democrats Are Open To Ditching Biden In 2024. What's the Point (FiveThirtyEight Podcast) Theme - SoundCloud It was a night of firsts, with the first primaries of 2022 taking place in Texas and President Bidens first real State of the Union speech. They also discuss ranked choice voting and the reasons for delays in New York City's final vote count in the mayoral election. Trump Is Setting A Dangerous Precedent For American Democracy 240 views In this late night edition of the podcast, the crew discusses the factors that went into Republican Glenn Youngkin winning the Virginia governor's race. FiveThirtyEight Politics 295 views 25 Feb 2021 Transcribe your podcast [00:00:06] Hello and welcome to the 538 Politics podcast. We hear from two people involved in the progressive movement in New York City about their thoughts on whats happening in the race and how progressivism is shaping politics more broadly. 04:58 PM. The crew discusses two elections in Ohio this week that will test the sway of the establishment in both parties. In his new book "Aftermath: The Last Days of the Baby Boom and the Future of Power in America," Washington Post national columnist Philip Bump argues that many of the fissures that the country is facing today politically, economically, culturally have to do with the Baby Boomers getting old. This is why we are coming every fortnight on your podcast platforms to help you make sense of the new and now. And what does Floridas new voting law tell us about the GOPs efforts to change the way Americans vote, and the partys larger motivations? In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate and Galen discuss a recently published assessment of how our 2022 midterm forecast performed. They also discuss the latest developments in the current round of redistricting. Zach and ESPN's Michael Schwartz break down the red-hot Suns ahead of their showdown with the Warriors, then ESPN's Dave McMenamin checks in on the Lakers -- plus . With the benefit of hindsight and some time to breathe, Galen Druke reflects on key moments of the 2020 race with the authors of the new book, Lucky: How Joe Biden Barely Won The Presidency. The State Of The Polls, 2016. Galen Druke speaks with Equis Research co-founder Carlos Odio about whether that trend continued in the 2022 midterms and what it all means for 2024. They also explain why a dramatic shift among independent women in a recent New York Times poll shouldn't be taken at face value but also shouldn't undercut the poll. The crew discusses how Liz Cheney and Madison Cawthorn's primaries serve as a test of what the Republican Party and its voters will and wont accept. 266, the . It's tempting to use the special election to gauge the national political environment, but the crew explains why one election alone isn't a reliable indicator. How The Federal Reserve Is The Shadow Branch Of The Government,American government is designed to have components that are not directly accountable to the public. Then the team debates if a surge of women registering to vote in June could be linked to the Supreme Courts recent abortion decision. By May 21, 2021 0 . The crew digs into why Democrats underperformed in a special election in Texas. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Smialek argues that over the past century, through successive crises, the Fed has accumulated the power to choose winners and losers . Technology and politics reporter Kaleigh Rogers discusses the influence of conspiracy theories on the events that led to the Jan. 6th riot, why people believe in conspiracy theories in the first place, and what it means for the future of American politics. What role do Liz Cheney-type Republicans have to play in the future of the GOP (if any)? They also address a listener question that suggests Republicans achieve their policy goals more often than Democrats. They also assess whether narratives from the 2021 gubernatorial election in Virginia hold up in light of new data, and debate the hottest legislative topic in Washington: permanent Daylight Saving Time. Mona Chalabi of FiveThirtyEight.com joins NPR's Rachel Martin for a look at who those people are. Pew Research has released its verified voter survey, looking at how different groups within the electorate voted in 2020. Galen and Nate discuss the state of uncalled races, what let to a good night for Democrats and answer listener questions. Commentators and politicos have given lots of hot takes on why Democrats did so poorly in Tuesday's election and what it portends for the 2022 midterms. FT Podcasts FT Weekend podcast 31 min listen Best of: Chef Mashama Bailey on reclaiming African-American food The award-winning chef explains her creative process 2 hours ago FT News Briefing. Atlantic writer Emma Green joins to talk about her recent article, "The Liberals Who Can't Quit Lockdown.". fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. My theme song for the "What's the Point" podcast from FiveThirtyEight, a podcast about our data age. RSS Loading. Democrat and former state Rep. Mary Peltola won Alaska's special congressional election on Wednesday, defeating Republicans Sarah Palin and Nick Begich III. 02:13:21 - Heartland POD on Twitter - @TheHeartlandPOD Co-HostsAdam Sommer @Adam_Sommer85 Rachel Parker @RaichetP Sean Diller @SeanDillerCO https://heartlandp They also ask whether a new poll showing Biden's approval rating at just 33 percent deserves all the attention it's been getting. Preview of Spotify. The crew discusses why the Kansas amendment that would have ended state constitutional rights to abortion failed by such a wide margin. The crew discusses what these results mean for the midterms this fall and where other indicators of the political environment are pointing. Listen at itun.es/i67M5bV. FiveThirtyEight Politics The Gerrymandering Project: California . Galen and Nate discuss the reasons for Republicans' improvement in the forecast. FiveThirtyEight Filed under Podcast-19 Jun. MANAGER'S SALARY. Raffensperger's new book is called Integrity Counts.". On the final day of COP26, we look at whether these types of international agreements actually shape countries climate policies and whether there are other factors that are more important. The majority of the coverage did not show signs of bias, such as articles on immigration, midterm elections and the Jan. 6 hearings. FiveThirtyEight Politics 3 days ago Biden's Second State Of The Union Was His First Campaign Speech President Biden delivered his second State of the Union address on Tuesday to a newly divided. In light of new data showing union membership at its lowest point since the Bureau of Labor Statistics began counting, they also look at how that decline has shaped U.S. politics. Its October and the surprises are rolling in. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses God, COVID-19 The Ticket - A Presidential Podcast comes from the Texas Tribune. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Video What to do about George Santos | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast Latino voters swung by eight percentage points toward President Trump in the last election, the largest swing of any racial or ethnic group in the electorate. The crew discusses the role partisanship has played in Americans' assessment of risk and their behavior during the pandemic. Why Valentina Shevchenko Is A Huge Favorite And Jon Jones Isn't At UFC 285,A pair of championships are on the line at UFC 285 in Las Vegas Saturday night, and both title bouts offer a study in contrasts. Politics Podcast: Baby Boomers' Strength Was In Their Numbers. As we discussed earlier this week, House Democrats plan on passing a one point nine trillion dollar American rescue plan by the end of the week. FiveThirtyEight Politics - Listen to All Episodes | News - TuneIn